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The Truth About Brands:
The Real Story on Private Label in the U.S.

Introduction
Consumer packaged goods (CPG) private label in the U.S. has had a winning record: dollar share across supermarkets, drugstores and mass merchandisers (excluding Wal-Mart) has reached 15%, and dollar growth rates have exceeded that of manufacturer brands in nine of the last ten years. Further, virtually all U.S. households have purchased some private label.

But, there are signs suggesting that many US retailers have not fully optimized their private label programs: just 20% of categories drive 80% of private label sales, and loyalty (share of category spending among private label category buyers) is below 50% in over 2/3 of categories.

Private label has been extended into some categories in which opportunity is very limited, due in large part to heavy brand-building activity by national brand manufacturers. Examples include toothpaste, where innovation is high and salty snacks, where brand equity is particularly strong.

How should retailers select categories for private label development? How can retailers and manufacturers collaborate to ensure that both private label and manufacturer brands are effectively positioned to maximize total category profitability? What should manufacturers do to ensure that their brands are differentiated from private label?

To address these questions, Information Resources, Inc. (IRI) and Boston Consulting Group (BCG) partnered in conducting an extensive study of the forces driving and inhibiting private label growth across over 270 product categories within three primary CPG channels: supermarkets, drugstores, and mass merchandisers (excluding Wal-Mart).

Data Sources

  • IRI InfoScan® Reviews (sales data)
  • IRI Consumer Network® (panel data)
  • Private Label Source of Volume Analysis
  • BCG Regression Analysis
  • IRI Times & Trends: Supermarket Private Label
  • IRI Insights On…Private Label

Key Findings Summary

  • Private label growth in the U.S. has been stunted by the availability of low-price national brands at “value” channels (supercenters, club, dollar)
  • Recent industry private label growth has been derived from a large number of small categories; however, strategic category focus --not program breadth--drives top performance
  • Manufacturer brand concentration and brand-building activity, including ad spending, innovation and brand extension, heavily impact private label opportunity by category
  • Beyond “staples”, private label appeals to a relatively narrow consumer base--who are not necessarily a store’s top shoppers; premium lines and niche products provide opportunity to broaden private label’s reach
  • >Category price elasticity, which varies widely across categories, drives optimal price gap between manufacturer and private label brands


Key Findings

U.S. Private Label Growth
Over the past five years, both private label dollar share and unit share across supermarkets, drugstores and mass merchandisers (excludingWal-Mart) have increased less than a half percentage point.

Despite a tough economy over the past several years, we have not seen the sharp private label gains that may have been expected….Why? We believe the growth of value retailers (supercenters, dollar stores, club stores) who offer national brands at low prices, has been a major inhibitor to private label growth. Rapid store expansion has resulted in much greater accessibility of these formats to an ever-increasing consumer base.

Even with further value retailer expansion, however, private label will continue to grow share, perhaps at a slightly accelerated rate. Given the fact that a handful of top-performing U.S. retailers have achieved share levels in the low 20’s, and many European countries have maintained share above this level, it is not likely that U.S. dollar share will peak at 15%.

Factors favoring continued U.S. share growth include:

  • Increased investment among private label leaders, whose average dollar share is 22% and who gained nearly 1 ½ percentage points between 1999 and 2002
  • Increasingly sophisticated programs
    • Multi-tiered offerings
    • Lines targeting specific consumer segments
    • Influx of European learning into acquired U.S. retailers
  • Innovative development and marketing strategies,eg.
    • Wal-Mart’s licensing of former P&G White Cloud brand
    • Costco’s co-branding with leading manufacturers

Category Opportunity

Over the past five years, private label has extended into a broader range of categories; however, private label performance across many of these categories has been weak. Further, private label is losing share in many top categories, such as milk, ice cream and popcorn.

As illustrated in the chart below, private label performance and opportunity vary tremendously across categories.

A regression analysis revealed four key factors that influence private label success:

Factors Inhibiting Private Label Success

  • Heavy manufacturer brand ad spending
  • Innovation
  • SKU proliferation
  • Manufacturer brand concentration

When evaluating a category for private label entry, development, or exit, retailers should explore these criteria. For manufacturers seeking to differentiate their brands from private label, effective innovation, extension and advertising are critical.

Private Label Consumer

All consumers are private label shoppers to some extent. In fact, in several “staple” categories, such as milk, bread, eggs, and cheese, household penetration is above 75%. Beyond the staples, however, there is a relatively small proportion of the population who are heavy private label buyers. Just 20% of the population are private label “loyalists”, who skew white and low income. These consumers allocate a high percentage of their spending to private label across the store. While this is clearly an important segment, for many retailers, private label loyalists are not among their top shoppers.

Retailers do have an opportunity to expand beyond this core consumer segment via targeted private label lines. For instance, a recent IRI case study analysis of six retailers offering premium private label lines found that in these instances, the premium lines were highly successful in reaching higher income groups. Other retailers, including several European companies, have had success with lines targeting niche segments, such as natural/organic and children.

Category Management

Private label is often treated –by retailers as well as branded manufacturers –as a separate entity, rather than an integral component of a category. However, our research has shown that private label is highly interrelated with all other category brands, and how it is positionedvis-à-visother brands heavily impacts total category performance.

For instance, a recent IRI source of volume analysis across five categories (bottled juice, gastrointestinal tablets, frozen seafood, natural cheese and toilet tissue) revealed that private label sourced volume from and to most of the top ten brands within each category.

An IRI price gap analysis found that optimal price gap between private label and manufacturer brands varies significantly across categories depending upon category price elasticity. In an inelastic category, for instance, shrinking the price gap would result in a major category profit increase for a retailer, while the same action in an elastic category would result in a significant category profit decline.

Implications for Retailers

  • Develop a stringent private label category selection process to ensure focus on categories with the greatest potential:
    • Low brand concentration
    • Limited category innovation
    • Limited brand ad spending
    • Limited SKUs
  • Establish category-specific development strategies based upon a thorough evaluation of performance metrics; protect and grow top private label categories currently losing share ( eg. milk, ice cream, popcorn)
  • Develop an efficient process to exit private label where warranted
    • Establish clear success hurdles
    • Leverage auctions
  • Extend private label via premium lines and “niche” offerings (eg. children, organic, ethnic)
    • Reach beyond core private label consumer segment
    • Products must be truly superior in quality to manufacturer brands

Implications for Manufacturers

  • Invest in brand building to create sustainable differentiation versus private label: advertising, innovation, extension
  • Leverage value channels to capture greater share of traditional channel private label shopper spending shifts
  • Determine when and with whom to create premium and/or niche (ie organic, ethnic, children) private label products for retailers

Implications for Retailers & Manufacturers

  • Fully integrate private label into the category management process
    • Factor category price elasticity into relative pricing of private label and manufacturer brands
    • Understand the consumer decision-making process by category to determine optimal shelf placement of private label vs manufacturer brands
  • Leverage frequent shopper data and/or market basket analysis to identify opportunities to grow share with retailers’ best shoppers
    • Identify penetration of both manufacturer brands and private label among top shoppers
    • Build assortment --including the mix of private label and manufacturer brands--by category around top shopper needs
    • Implement targeted marketing and cross-merchandising initiatives

How to Learn More

Full Study Findings
For a full presentation of The Truth About Brands: The Real Story on Private Label in the U.S.,please contact your IRI client service representative. If you have questions regarding this document, please contact Sheila McCusker(sheila.mccusker@infores.com).

IRI Products and Services
IRI offers several products and services that help retailers andmanufacturers understand the relationship between manufacturer and private label brands and identify opportunities to enhance category sales and profits:

Consumer Network®: IRI’s consumer panel-based tracking system, consisting of over 70,000 US households and covering all major CPG channels, including supermarkets, drugstores, mass merchandisers, supercenters, dollar stores, club stores, and others

Market Structure Analysis: Leverages IRI Consumer Network®panel data to identify the hierarchy of consumers’ decision-making process within a category

Shopping Basket Analysis: Leverages purchase data collected via IRI’s Consumer Network®panel to identify the categories and brands in the shopping baskets of specific consumer segments, including high expenditure households

AttitudeLink®: Links attitudinal survey responses among IRI’s Consumer Network® and RxPulse panelists with actual purchase behavior

IRI Insights on…Private Label: A comprehensive report on consumer private label attitudes and purchase behavior

Times & Trends: Supermarket Private Label: An annual review of private label sales trends across categories within the supermarket channel

About IRI
Information Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ: IRIC) is a leading providerof UPC scanner-and panel-based business solutions to the consumer packaged goods and healthcare industries, offering services in the U.S., Europe and other international markets.

The Company supplies CPG and pharmaceutical manufacturers, retailers, and brokers with information and analysis critical to their sales, marketing, andsupply chain operations. IRI provides services designed to deliver value through an enhanced understanding of the consumer to a majority of the Fortune 500 companies in the CPG industry. More information is available at www.infores.com.


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